Backward Bifurcation Analysis for A Malaria Transmission Model

Authors

  • Roumen Anguelov University of Pretoria
  • Kenneth Njengele Dukuza* University of Pretoria
  • Jean Lubuma University of Pretoria

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.11145/cb.v3i1.695

Abstract

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In the epidemiology of infectious diseases, the backward bifurcation phenomenon refers to the situation where the disease-free equilibrium co-exists with an endemic equilibrium when the basic reproduction number is less than unity, both equilibrium points being locally asymptotically stable. This work is based on the paper Chitnis et al. 2006 (Bifurcation Analysis of a mathematical model for malaria transmission) in which a conjecture is made regarding on the existence of the backward bifurcation for a malaria transmission model proposed the method. By using the Center Manifold Theory, we establish sufficient conditions for the occurrence of the backward bifurcation.

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Author Biography

Kenneth Njengele Dukuza*, University of Pretoria

Applied mathematics PhD Student.

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Published

2016-04-19

Issue

Section

Conference Contributions