A model for the early COVID-19 outbreak in China with case detection and behavioural change

Authors

  • Julien Arino Department of Mathematics, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
  • Khalid El Hail Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, University of Sultan Moulay Slimane, Beni-Mellal, Morocco
  • Mohamed Khaladi Laboratory of Mathematics and Population Dynamics - UMMISCO, Faculty of Sciences Semlalia, Cadi Ayyad University, Marrakech, Morocco
  • Aziz Ouhinou Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, University of Sultan Moulay Slimane, Beni-Mellal, Morocco

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55630/j.biomath.2022.12.207

Keywords:

COVID-19, Behavioural Change, Screening Intensity, Protective Measures

Abstract

We investigate a model of the early stage of the COVID-19 epidemic comprising undetected infected individuals as well as behavioural change towards the use of self-protection measures. The model is fitted to China data reported between 22 January and 29 June 2020. Using fitting results, we then consider model responses to varying screening intensities.

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Published

2023-01-27

Issue

Vol. 11 No. 2 (2022)

Section

Original Articles

License

Copyright (c) 2022 Julien Arino, Khalid El Hail, Mohamed Khaladi, Aziz Ouhinou

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